Description

This analysis provides a forecast of EGLD prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 10.720013 11.894807 13.158297 14.620427 16.268574 18.072024 20.199055
2025-08-31 8.843390 10.428233 12.253343 14.519496 17.270060 20.515782 24.658468
2025-09-07 7.672371 9.536051 11.813943 14.824130 18.728790 23.664981 30.445085
2025-09-14 6.598837 8.581267 11.132460 14.693298 19.593498 26.185590 35.870827
2025-09-21 5.697937 7.706629 10.410684 14.371881 20.119219 28.299302 41.086085
2025-09-28 5.045280 7.068313 9.904386 14.245958 20.859514 30.779797 47.221474
2025-10-05 4.685370 6.786723 9.848617 14.738696 22.548915 34.884684 56.557629
2025-10-12 4.366291 6.519503 9.769795 15.167804 24.178335 39.119304 66.872901
2025-10-19 4.016622 6.161081 9.501665 15.248050 25.231730 42.540407 76.395884
2025-10-26 3.672463 5.770819 9.133509 15.105270 25.867246 45.308299 85.212581
2025-11-02 3.362144 5.401123 8.754737 14.888471 26.325608 47.799788 93.941425
2025-11-09 3.081730 5.052067 8.371388 14.610642 26.620966 50.006587 102.491681
2025-11-16 2.842885 4.756413 8.058834 14.440809 27.131888 52.785490 113.026881
2025-11-23 2.646343 4.516009 7.819544 14.379534 27.850069 56.112365 125.569333
2025-11-30 2.523713 4.395349 7.783744 14.705091 29.403420 61.478277 144.226666
2025-12-07 2.355783 4.176101 7.542141 14.590283 30.008475 64.851737 158.752193
2025-12-14 2.181546 3.929468 7.224207 14.280349 30.140961 67.158790 171.056193
2025-12-21 2.046655 3.745581 7.009870 14.160800 30.681257 70.524156 187.110871
2025-12-28 1.988997 3.705868 7.076800 14.653719 32.715818 77.953591 216.907526
2026-01-04 1.928086 3.653985 7.113170 15.082270 34.661968 85.533189 249.414881
2026-01-11 1.838745 3.537003 7.002987 15.163397 35.759022 91.057411 277.048001
2026-01-18 1.736989 3.386234 6.807449 15.022360 36.267663 95.050476 300.784681
2026-01-25 1.637339 3.232106 6.591168 14.807419 36.552214 98.462234 323.576071